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Wai-Sum
CHAN 陳
偉森教授
BBA, MPhil(CUHK); MSc, PhD(Temple); FSA; HonFIA;
CERA;
CStat
Professor of Finance, CUHK
Business School
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Office:
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Room 1226, Cheng Yu Tung Building, Shatin
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Email:
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chanws@cuhk.edu.hk
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Phone:
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(852) 3943-7715
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Fax:
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(852) 2603-6586
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Professional Qualifications
- Fellow, Royal
Statistical
Society, U.K., 1990-present (Designation: F.R.S.S.)
- Fellow, Society
of Actuaries,
U.S.A., 1995-present (Designation: F.S.A.)
- Chartered
Statistician, U.K., 1998-present (Designation: C.Stat.)
- Chartered
Enterprise
Risk Analyst, U.S.A., 2008-present (Designation: C.E.R.A.)
- Honorary Fellow, Institute
and Faculty of Actuaries, U.K., 2014-present (Designation:
HonFIA)
- Elected Fellow, Modelling and Simulation
Society of Australia & New Zealand, 2017-present
(Designation: FMSSANZ)
Editorial Duties
Teaching Awards
Research
Awards
- The 2006 Edward A.
Lew Research Award
(Second Prize), the Committee on Knowledge Extension Research (CKER) of
the Society of Actuaries, USA
Research Interests
- Modelling of Actuarial Assumptions
- Law and Actuarial Science
- Financial Econometrics
- Clinical Statistics
Recent GRF Research Grants
- Contributing
to the
Development of Hong Kong into a Global Fintech Hub, Theme-based
Research
Scheme, (HK$18,593,000),
Co-Investigator,
2018.
- On Temporal Aggregation of Some
Non-Linear Time-Series Models, (HK$513,216), Principal Investigator,
2017.
- Further Reforms in Hong Kong’s
Personal Injury
Compensation: An Inquisitive Perspective, (HK$590,500),Co-Investigator,
2016.
- Investment
Pattern and Performance of Mandatory Provident Fund Scheme Members: A
Historical Administrative Record Analysis (HK$336,390), Co-Investigator,
Public Policy Research (PPR)
Grant, 2016.
- Combating in-work Poverty in Hong Kong,
(HK$968,000), Co-Investigator,
2015.
- How
to Increase the Demand for Annuity in Hong Kong: A Study of Middle-Aged
Adults (HK$767,917.10), Co-Investigator, Public Policy Research (PPR)
Grant, 2014.
- Universalism
or Means-tested Benefits for Children and Single Mothers,
(HK$1,592,500), Co-Investigator,
2013.
- On
Robust Tests for Nonlinearity in Multivariate
Time-Series Analysis (HK$345,436), Principal Investigator,
2012.
- One
Country, Two Systems and Three Disciplines: Interdisciplinary Research
of Law, Economics and Actuarial Mathematics in Assessment of Personal
Injury Damages in the People's Republic of China (HK$440,550), Co-Investigator, 2012.
-
Actuarial
Assessment of Damages in Personal Injury Litigations --- How Precise
Are We? (HK$219,000), Co-Investigator,
2008.
- Long-term care cost
drivers
and expenditure projection
to 2033 (HK$272,000),
Co-Investigator,
Public Policy Research (PPR)
Grant, 2006.
- Disturbances and shifts in human longevity trend:
implications for planning health services and financing retirement
security (HK$406,464), Principal Investigator, 2005.
- A study on a financially sustainable retirement
protection
system in Hong Kong (HK$993,384), Co-Investigator, 2005.
Publications
Books
-
《金融與保險精算數學》,
著者﹕陳偉森、謝
耀權,機械工業出版社,2009年4月。
- Financial
Mathematics for Actuaries [with Y.K. Tse], Third
Edition, World Scientific Publishing Company, 2021, pp.xx+345.
- Financial and Actuarial Mathematics [with
Y.K.
Tse], McGraw Hill, 2007, pp.xvi+335.
(Cover Pages, Preface, About the Authors, Table of Contents)
- Personal Injury Tables Singapore 2021 -
Tables for the
Calculation of Damages [with Chan FHW and Li JSH], Sweet
&
Maxwell Asia, 2021.
- Personal Injury Tables Hong Kong 2019 -
Tables for the
Calculation of Damages (Fourth Edition) [with Chan FHW and Li
JSH;
General
Editor: N Sarony, QC, SC], Sweet & Maxwell Asia, 2019,
pp.xvii+80.
- Butterworths Hong Kong Personal
Injury Service (Looseleaf Set), Section V (Quantum of
Damages) [Contributors: Chan FHW and Chan WS], LexisNexis Hong Kong,
2021.
- Statistics and Finance: An Interface
(edited with H.
Tong and W.K. Li), Imperial College Press, U.K., 2000 (22 chapters, pp.
x+384).
Journal Articles
***
Articles in
Press ***
*** 2022 ***
- Wang, D. and Chan, W.S. "Backcasting Mortality in
England and Wales, 1600-1840, " North
American Actuarial Journal, 26(1), 102-122.
- Chan, W.S. "On
Temporal Aggregation of Some Nonlinear Time-Series Models," Econometrics
and Statistics, 21-38-49.
*** 2021 ***
- He,
A.J., Qian, J., Chan, W.S. and Chou, K.L. "Preferences for Private
Long-term Care Insurance Products in a Super-Ageing Society: A Discrete
Choice Experiment in Hong Kong," Social
Science and Medicine, 270, 113632.
- Tian,
Y-Z., Tang, M-L., Chan, W.S. and Tian, M-Z. "Bayesian Bridge-Randomized
Penalized Quantile Regression for Ordinal Longitudinal Data, with
Application to Firm’s Bond Ratings," Computational Statistics, 36, 1289-1319.
- Kwong, K.S., Tse,
Y.K. and
Chan, W.S. "Singapore’s LIFE Program: Actuarial Framework, Longevity
Risk and
Impact of Annuity Fund Return," Singapore
Economic Review, 66(5), 1355-1371.
*** 2020 ***
- Chan, F.W.H., Chan, W.S. and Li, J.S.H. "How Much Is
A Leg Worth in Hong Kong? Proposal for Reforming," Hong Kong Law Journal,
2020, 50(3), 983-1004.
*** 2019 ***
- Li,
J.S.H., Zhou, Z.Q., Zhu, X., Chan, W.S. and Chan, F.W.H. "A Bayesian
Approach to Developing a Stochastic Mortality Model for China," Journal of the Royal
Statistical Society: Series A, 2019,
182(4), 1523-1560.
- Kwong,
K.S., Chan, W.S. and Li, J.S.H. "Actuarial Modeling and Analysis of the Hong
Kong Life Annuity Scheme, " Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and
Insurance, 2019,
14(1), 1-12.
- Lee, S.Y., Chou, K.L., Chan, W.S. and van
Kippersluis, Hans. "Consumer Preferences and Demand for Annuities:
Evidence from Hong Kong," Journal
of Aging and Social Policy, 2019, 31(2), 170-188.
- Cheung,
K.C.K., Chan, W.S. and Chou, K.L. "Material Deprivation and
Working Poor in Hong Kong," Social Indicators Research,
2019, 145(1), 36-66.
- Chan,
K.L.T. and Chan W.S. "Developing an Optimal Strategy for a Maximization
Dice Game," College
Mathematics Journal, 2019, 50(4), 272-279.
*** 2018 ***
- Cheung, K.C.K., Chan, W.S., Chou, K.L. and Lau,
M.K.W.
"Evaluating the Effectiveness and Efficiency of Hong Kong Welfare
Programs in Reducing Child Poverty," Children & Society,
2018, 32, 481-491.
- Kang, M., Liu Y., Li, J.S.H. and Chan,
W.S. "Mortality
Forecasting for Multiple Populations: An Augmented Common Factor Model
with a Penalized Log-Likelihood," Communications
in Statistics -- Case Studies and Data Analysis, 2018, 4,
118-141.
*** 2017 ***
- Chu, C.W., Chan, K.L.T., Chan, W.S. and Kwong,
K.S. "Multiple-Solution Problems in a Statistics Classroom: An
Example," International
Journal of
Mathematical Education in Science and Technology, 48(8),
2017, 1249-1261.
- Chan,
F.W.H., Chan, W.S. and Li, J.S.H. "Assessing Personal Injury
Liabilities in China from National to Provincial Level: An
International Comparative Analysis, " Asian
Journal of Law and Economics, 2017, 8(2), 1-20.
- Li, J.S.H., Chan,
W.S. and Zhou, R. "Semi-Coherent Multi-Population Mortality Modeling:
The Impact on Longevity Risk Securitization," Journal of Risk and Insurance,
2017, 84(3), 1025-1065.
- Kwong,
K.S., Tse, Y.K. and
Chan, W.S. "Enhancing Singapore’s Pension Scheme: A Blueprint for
Further Flexibility," Risks,
2017, 5(2), 25-42.
*** 2016 ***
- Chan,
W.S., Li, J.S.H., Zhou, K.Q. and Zhou, R. "Towards a Large and Liquid
Longevity Market: A Graphical Population Basis Risk Metric," The Geneva Papers on Risk and
Insurance -
Issues and Practice, 2016, 41, 118-127.
*** 2015 ***
- Li,
J.S.H., Ng, A.C.Y. and
Chan, W.S. "Managing Financial Risk in
Chinese Stock Markets: Option Pricing and Modeling under a Multivariate
Threshold Autoregression," International
Review of Economics and Finance, 2015, 40, 217-230.
- Chan,
W.S., Cheung, S.H., Chow, W.K. and Zhang, L.X. "A Robust Test for
Threshold-type Non-linearity in Multivariate Time-Series Analysis," Journal of Forecasting,
2015, 34,
441-454.
- Chan,
F.W.H., Chan, W.S. and Li, J.S.H. "Using Actuarial Evidence in
Singapore and Hong Kong: A Sequel to 'Lai Wee Lian Revisited', " Hong Kong Law Journal,
2015, 45,
499-516.
- Yu, K.M., Wu, A.M., Chan, W.S. and Chou, K.L.,
"Gender
Differences in Financial Literacy among Hong Kong Workers," Educational Gerontology,
2015, 41,
315-326.
- Yu, K.M., Chou, K.L., Chan, W.S., Wu, A.M., Zhu,
A.Y.F. and
Lou, V.W.Q., "Perceived Retirement Savings Adequacy in Hong Kong: An
Interdisciplinary Financial Planning Model," Ageing & Society,
2015, 35,
1565-1586.
*** 2014 ***
- Zhang, L.X., Hu, F., Cheung, S.H. and Chan,
W.S. "Asymptotic
Properties of
Multi-color Randomly Reinforced Polya Urn," Advances in
Applied Probability, 2014, 46, 585-602.
- Chou, K.L.,
Chan,
W.S., Wu, A.M., Chan, A.C.M., Lam T.Y.S. and Zhu, A.Y.F., "Social and
Psychological Barriers to Private Retirement Savings in Hong Kong," Journal of Aging & Social Policy,
2014, 26, 308-323.
- Cheung, S.H., Zhang, L.X., Hu, F., and Chan, W.S.
"Covariate-Adjusted Response-Adaptive Designs for Generalized Linear
Models," Journal of
Statistical
Planning and Inference, 2014, 149, 152-161.
- Chan, W.S., Li, J.S.H. and Li, J.K.K. "The CBD
Mortality
Indexes: Modeling and Applications," North
American Actuarial Journal, 2014, 18, 38-58.
- Chan, F.W.H. and
Chan, W.S. "Using
Actuarial Tables in Matrimonial Financial Disputes: Duxbury Calculation
in the Hong Kong Context," Hong
Kong
Lawyer, 2014, May, 34-40.
*** 2013 ***
- Ng, A.C.Y., Li,
J.S.H. and Chan,
W.S. "Pricing
Options
on Stocks Denominated in Different Currencies: Theory and Illustrations,"
North
American Journal of
Economics and
Finance,
2013, 26, 339-354.
-
Li,
J.S.H., Ng, A.C.Y. and Chan,
W.S. "Stochastic Life
Table Forecasting: a Time-Simultaneous Fan Chart Application,"
Mathematics and Computers
in Simulation, 2013, 93, 98-107.
*** 2012 ***
- Chan, F.W.H., Chan,
W.S. and Li,
J.S.H. "Actuarial
Assessment of
Damages in Personal Injury Litigation: How Precise Are We?,"
Law, Probability and Risk, 2012, 11,
25-39.
*** 2011 ***
-
Hu, F., Zhang, L.X., Cheung,
S.H. and Chan,
W.S. "Immigrated
Urn Models -
Theoretical Properties and Applications," Annals of Statistics,
2011, 39, 643-67
-
Li, J.S.H., Ng, A.C.Y. and Chan,
W.S. "On the
Calibration of Mortality Forward Curves,"
Journal of Futures Markets, 2011,
31, 947-970.
-
Li, J.S.H., Chan, W.S. and
Cheung,
S.H.. "Structural
Changes in the
Lee-Carter Mortality Indexes: Detection and Implications," North American Actuarial
Journal, 2011,
15, 13-31.
-
Chung, A.H.L., Chan, W.S. and
Batten,
J.A. "Threshold Non-Linear
Dynamics between
Hang Seng Stock Index and Futures Returns," European Journal
of
Finance, 2011, 17, 471-486.
-
Chan, W.S. and Kung,
K.C. "On Robust Testing and
Modelling of Threshold-Type
Non-Linearity in ASEAN Foreign Exchange Markets," Asia-Pacific
Journal of Risk and Insurance, 2011, Vol.5:Iss. 2, Article 3.
-
Li, J.S.H. and Chan, W.S. "Time-Simultaneous
Prediction Bands: A New Look at the Uncertainty Involved in Forecasting
Mortality," Insurance:
Mathematics and
Economics, 2011, 49, 81-88.
-
Ng, A.C.Y., Li, J.S.H. and Chan,
W.S. "Modeling Investment
Guarantees in Japan: A
Risk-Neutral GARCH Approach," International Review of Financial
Analysis, 2011, 20,
20-26.
-
Li, J.S.H., Ng, A.C.Y. and Chan,
W.S. "Modeling Old-Age Mortality Risk
for the Populations of Australia and New Zealand: An Extreme Value
Approach,"
Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 2011, 81, 1325-1333 .
*** 2010 ***
-
Chan,
F.W.H., Chan, W.S.
and Li, J.S.H. "Time
to Review the
Discount Rate in Personal Injury Claims," Law
Society Gazette,
Dec Issue 2010.
-
Chan,
W.S., Chan, F.W.H.
and Li, J.S.H. "A
Threshold Formula for Indexing the Discount Rate for Actuarial
Assessment of Damages in Personal Injury Litigation," Journal
of Personal
Injury Law, 2010,
3, 139-146.
-
Chung, A.H.L., Chan, W.S. and
Batten,
J.A. "Modelling
the US Swap Spread," Research
in Finance, 2010, 26,
155-181.
-
Tse, Y.K. and Chan,
W.S. "The
Lead-Lag Relationship between the S&P500
Spot and Futures Markets: An Intraday-data Analysis Using Threshold
Regression Model," Japanese
Economic
Review, 2010, 61(1), 133-144.
-
Chan, F.W.H, Chan, W.S. and Li,
J.S.H. "An
Actuarial Approach to Assessing Personal
Injury Compensations in Singapore: Theory and Practice," Singapore Economic
Review , 2010, 55, 705-731.
-
Chung, A.H.L., Chan,
W.S. "Impact of
Credit Spreads, Monetary Policy and
Convergence Trading on Swap Spreads,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, 2010, 19, 118-126.
*** 2009 ***
-
Wong,
A.C.S., Chan, W.S.
and Kam, P.L. "A Student t-mixture Autoregressive
Model with
Applications to Heavy-Tailed Financial Data," Biometrika,
2009,
96, 751-760.
-
Hung, K.C.,
Cheung, S.H., Chan, W.S. and Zhang, L.X. "On a Robust Test for
SETAR-Type Non-Linearity in Time Series Analysis," Journal of
Forecasting, 2009, 28, 445-464.
-
Chan,
W.S., Zhang,
L.X. and Cheung, S.H. "Temporal
Aggregation of Markov Switching Financial Return
Models," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 2009, 25, 359-383.
-
Chan, W.S., Wong, A.C.S. and
Chung, H.L. "Modelling
Australian Interest Rate Swap Spreads by Mixture Autoregressive
Conditional Heteroscedastic Processes," Mathematics and
Computers
in Simulation,
2009, 79,
2779-2786.
-
Zhang,
L.X., Chan, W.S.,
Cheung, S.H. and Hung, K.C. "A Note on the Consistency of a Robust
Estimator for Threshold Autoregressive Processes," Statistics
and
Probability Letters, 2009, 79, 807-813.
*** 2008 ***
-
Hu
F., Zhang L.X.,
Cheung S.H. and Chan W.S. "Doubly Adaptive
Biased Coin Designs
with Delayed Responses," The Canadian Journal of
Statistics, 2008,
36, 541-559.
-
Chan,
W.S., Cheung, S.H.,
Zhang, L.X. and Wu, K.H. "Temporal Aggregation of Equity Return
Time-Series Models," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 2008,
78, 172-180.
-
Chan, W.S. and Chan, Y.T. "A
Note on the Autocorrelation Properties of Temporally
Aggregated Markov Switching Gaussian Models," Statistics
and Probability Letters, 2008,
78, 728-735.
*** 2007 ***
-
Zhang, L.X., Hu, F., Cheung,
S.H. and Chan,
W.S., "Asymptotic
Properties of
Covariate-Adjusted Response-Adaptive Designs," Annals of
Statistics,
2007, 35, 1166-1182.
-
Leung, G.M., Tin, K.Y.K. and
Chan, W.S.,
"Hong Kong's Health Spending Projections Through 2033," Health
Policy,
2007, 81, 93-101.
-
Chan, W.S., "Teaching the
Concept of
Breakdown Point in Simple Linear Regression," in Fundamentals
of
Marketing Research, edited by N.K. Malhotra. Los Angeles:
Sage
Publications: 2007, Vol. IV, 265-268.
-
Li,
S.H. and Chan, W.S.,
"The Lee-Carter Model for Forecasting Mortality, Revisited," North
American Actuarial Journal, 2007, 11, 68-89.
-
Zhang, L.X., Chan, W.S., Cheung,
S.H. and Hu,
F., "A Generalized Drop-the-Loser Urn For Clinical Trials with Delayed
Responses," Statistica Sinica, 2007,17,
387-409.
***
2006 ***
-
Chan, W.S. "Outliers in
Nonstationary
Time-Series," Journal of Quantitative Economics,
2006, 4,
75-83.
-
Chan,
W.S. and Zhang L.,
"Direct Derivation of Finite-Time Ruin
Probabilities in the Discrete Risk Model with Exponential or
Geometric Claims," North
American
Actuarial Journal,
2006, 10(4),
269-279.
-
Chan,
F.W.H. and Chan, W.S., "An
Empirical Inquiry into the Recent Trends of Personal Injury
Compensation in Hong Kong," The Business Review, 2006,
5(1),
194-200.
-
Chan,
W.S., Ng, W.M. and Tong, H., "On
a Simple
Graphical Approach to Modelling Economic Fluctuations with an Application
to the UK
Price Inflation, 1265-2005,"
Annals of
Actuarial Science, 2006, 1(1),
103-128.
-
Yeung, R.Y.T.
and Chan, W.S., "Health Care Financing in Hong Kong", in Hong
Kong's Health System - Reflections, Perspectives and Visions,
edited by GM Leung and J Bacon-Shone. Hong Kong: The
University
of Hong Kong Press, 2006,
435-446.
-
Wong, I.O.L.,
Chan, W.S., Choi, S.,
Lo, S.V., and Leung, G.M. on behalf of the Health Care Financing Study
Group. "Moral Hazard or Realised Access to Care? Empirical Observations
in Hong Kong," Health Policy, 2006, 75(3), 251-261.
***
2005 ***
-
Wong, A.C.S. and
Chan, W.S., "Mixture Gaussian Time Series Modelling of Long-Term Market
Returns," North American Actuarial Journal, 2005,
9(4), 83-94.
- Ghani
A.C., Donnelly, C.A.,
Cox, D.R., Griffin, J.T., Fraser, C., Ho,
L.M., Chan, W.S., Lam, T.H., Anderson, R.M., Hedley, A.J., and Leung,
G.M. "Methods for Estimating the Case Fatality Ratio for a Novel
Emerging Infectious Disease," The American Journal of
Epidemiology,
2005, 162, 479-486.
- Li, S.H. and Chan, W.S., "Outlier Analysis and
Mortality
Forecasting: the United Kingdom and Scandinavian Countries," Scandinavian
Actuarial Journal, 2005, 3, 187-211.
- Chan, W.S. and S.H. Cheung, "A Bivariate Threshold
Time
Series Model for Analyzing Australian Interest Rates," Mathematics
and Computers in Simulation, 2005, 68, 429-437.
- Leung, G.M., Wong, I.O.L., Chan, W.S., Choi, S. and
Lo,
S.V., "The Ecology of Health Care in Hong Kong," Social
Science and
Medicine, 2005, 61, 577-590.
*** 2004 ***
- Chan, W.S., Wong, A.C.S. and Tong, H. "Some
Non-linear
Threshold Autoregressive Time Series Models for Actuarial Use," North
American Actuarial Journal, 2004, 8 (4), 37-61.
- Hui, M.Y.Y. and Chan, W.S., "A Search for the Root
Causes
of the Underdevelopment of the Hong Kong Annuity Market," The
Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance, 2004, 23, 439-453.
- Chan, W.S. and Ng, M.W., "Robustness of Alternative
Non-linearity Tests for SETAR Models," Journal of Forecasting,
2004, 23, 215-231.
- Li, S.H. and Chan, W.S., "Estimation of Complete
Period
Life Tables for Singaporeans," Journal of Actuarial Practice,
2004, 11, 129-146.
- Chan, W.S., Li, S.H. and Fong, P.W., "An Actuarial
Analysis
of Long-Term Care Demand in Hong Kong," Geriatrics and
Gerontology
International, 2004, 4, S143-145.
- Chan, F.W.H. and Chan, W.S., "How Well Do Judges
Understand
Money? The Reform of Personal Injury Compensation in Hong Kong," The
Tort Law Review, 2004, 12, 176-181.
- Chan, F.W.H. and Chan, W.S., "A Paradigm Shift in
Personal
Injury Litigation in Hong Kong - the Actuarial Perspectives," The
Business Review, 2004, 2(1), 200-205.
- Cheung, S. H., Kwong, K. S., Chan, W. S. and Leung,
S. P.,
"Multiple Comparisons with a Control in Families with Both One-sided
and Two-sided Hypotheses," Statistics in Medicine,
2004, 23,
2975-2988.
- Kwong, K.S., Cheung, S.H. and Chan, W.S., "Multiple
Testing
to Establish Superiority/Equivalence of a New Treatment Compared with k
Standard Treatments for Unbalanced Designs," Biometrics,
2004,
60, 491-498.
- Chan, W.S., Cheung, S.H. and Wu, K.H., "Multiple
Forecasts
with Autoregressive Time Series Models: Cases Studies," Mathematics
and Computers in Simulation, 2004, 64, 421-430.
*** 2003 ***
- Chan, W.S., Yang, H. and Zhang, L., "Some Results on
Ruin
Probabilities in a Two-dimensional Risk Model," Insurance,
Mathematics and Economics, 2003, 32, 345-358.
- Chan, W.S. and Chan F.W.H., "On
Selection of
the Discount Rate for Actuarial Assessment of Damages in Personal
Injury Litigation in Hong Kong," Law,
Probability and
Risk, 2003, 2, 15-24.
- Chan, W.S. and Chan F.W.H., "A Loglinear Analysis of
Legal
Representation Statistics on Hearings of Civil Cases in the District
Court of Hong Kong," Hong Kong Law Journal, 2003,
33, 523-542.
*** 2002 ***
- Chan, W.S., "Stochastic Investment Modelling: A
Multiple
Time Series Approach," British Actuarial Journal,
2002, Vol. 8,
545-591.
- Chan, W.S. and Liu, W.N., "Diagnosing Shocks in
Markets of
Southeast Asia, Australia and New Zealand," Mathematics and
Computers in Simulation, 2002, Vol. 59, 223-232.
- Chan, W.S., "Introduction to Basic Actuarial
Principles",
in Actuarial Science -- Theory and Practice, edited
by H Shang
and A Tosseti, Beijing: Higher Education Press, 2002, 1-60.
- Bacon-Shone, J.H., Chan, W.S., Leung, G.M. and Yeung,
R.Y.T., "Viability of the Health Protection Account in Hong Kong," Hong
Kong Medical Journal, 2002, 8, 384-385.
*** 2001 ***
- Chan, W.S., "The First Mandated Social Security
Pension
Scheme in Hong Kong", Benefits: A Journal of Social Security
Research, Policy & Practice, 2001, 32, 15-21.
- Chan, W.S., "Teaching the Concept of Breakdown Point
in
Linear Regression Analysis," International Journal of
Mathematical
Education in Science and Technology, 2001, Vol. 32, 745-748.
- Ng, E.T.M. and Chan, W.S., "Some Seasonal Unit Root
Tests
with a Maintained Broken Trend," Journal of Applied
Statistical
Science, 2001, Vol. 10, 259-277.
*** 2000 ***
- Lo, W.C. and Chan, W.S., "Diagnosing Shocks in Stock
Market
Returns of Greater China," Multinational Finance Journal,
2000,
Vol. 4, 269-288.
- Chan, W.S. and Chan, F.W.H., "Lai Wee Lian Revisited
-
Should Actuarial Tables be Used for the Assessment of Damages in
Personal Injury Litigation in Singapore?" Singapore Journal
of
Legal Studies, 2000, 364-378.
- Chan, W.S., "Modelling Corporate Bond Default Risk: A
Multiple Time Series Approach," Journal of Actuarial Practice,
2000, Vol. 8, 211-235.
- Chan, F.W.H. and Chan, W.S., "Actuarial Assessment of
Damages in Personal Injury Litigation: the Hong Kong Position and the
Comparative International Aspects," The Hong Kong Law Journal,
2000, Vol. 30, 272-289.
- Chan, F.W.H. and Chan, W.S., "Actuarial Assessment of
Damages in Hong Kong Personal Injury Litigation: Chan Pui Ki (an
infant) v Leung On," International Journal of Evidence and
Proof,
2000, Vol. 4, No. 3, 194-203.
- Zhang, X.B., Tse, Y.K. and Chan, W.S., "Detecting
Structural Changes using Genetic Programming with an Application to the
Greater-China Stock Markets," in Statistics and Finance: An
Interface, edited by Chan et al., London: Imperial College
Press,
2000, 370-384.
*** 1999 ***
- Chan, W.S., Lo, H. and Cheung, S.H., "Return
Transmission
Among Stock Markets of the Greater China," Mathematics and
Computers in Simulation, 1999, Vol. 48, 511-518.
- Chan, W.S. "A Multivariate Stochastic Investment
Model for
Analysing Investment Strategies," Singapore International
Insurance
and Actuarial Journal, 1999, Vol. 3, No. 1, 51-64.
- Chan, W.S., "A Comparison of Some of Pattern
Identification
Methods for Order Determination of Mixed ARMA Models," Statistics
and Probability Letters, 1999, Vol.42, No.1, 69-79.
- Chan, W.S., Cheung, S.H. and Wu, K.H., "On Exact
Joint
Forecast Regions for Vector Autoregressive Models," Journal
of
Applied Statistics, 1999, Vol.26, 35-44.
*** 1998 ***
- Chan, W.S., "Forecasting Australian Retail Price
Inflation:
A Multiple Time Series Approach," Australian Actuarial Journal,
1998, Vol.2, 127-141.
- Chan, W.S. and Wang, S., "The Wilkie Model for Retail
Price
Inflation Revisited," British Actuarial Journal,
1998, 637-652.
- Chan, W.S., "Outlier Analysis of Annual Retail Price
Inflation: A Cross-Country Study," Journal of Actuarial
Practice,
1998, 149-172.
- Chan, W.S. and Chen, Z.G., "A Statistical Approach
for
Disaggregating Mixed-Frequency Economic Time Series Data," Advances
in Econometrics, 1998, Vol.13, 21-45.
- Cheung, S.H., Wu, K.H. and Chan, W.S., "Exact
Simultaneous
Prediction Intervals for Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average
Models," Computational Statistics and Data Analysis,
1998,
297-306.
- Chan, W.S. and Chung, R.K., "Payment Systems in
Singapore," Treasury Management Association Journal,
1998, Vol.18,
No.2, 48-51.
*** 1997 ***
- Koong, C.S., Tsui, A.K. and Chan, W.S., "On Tests for
Long
Memory in Pacific Basin Stock Returns," Mathematics and
Computers
in Simulation, 1997, 445-449.
*** 1996 ***
- Cheung, S.H. and Chan, W.S., "Simultaneous Confidence
Intervals for Pairwise Multiple Comparisons in a Two-Way Unbalanced
Design," Biometrics, 1996, 463-472.
- Chan, W.S., "Mang Kung Dice Game," Teaching
Statistics,
1996, 42-44.
*** 1995 ***
- Chan, W.S., "Understanding the Effect of Time Series
Outliers on Sample Autocorrelations," TEST: A Journal of the
Spanish Society of Statistics and O.R., 1995, 179-186.
- Chan, W.S, "Time Series Outliers and Spurious
Autocorrelations," Journal of Applied Statistical Science,
1995, 40-51.
- Chan, W.S., "Outliers and Financial Time Series
Modelling:
A Cautionary Note," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation,
1995, 425-430.
- Chan, W.S., "On Large-Sample Tests Concerning
Proportions," Teaching Statistics, 1995, 17-18.
*** 1994 ***
- Chan, W.S. and Tse, Y.K., "Cross Return
Predictability in
Pacific Basin Stock Markets," Asia Pacific Journal of
Management,
1994, 289-303.
- Chan, W.S. and Cheung, S.H., "On Robust Estimation of
Threshold Autoregressions," Journal of Forecasting,
1994,
37-49.
- Chan, W.S. "On Portmanteau Goodness-of-Fit Tests in
Robust
Time Series Modelling," Computational Statistics,
1994,
301-310.
*** 1993 ***
- Chan, W.S. "Disaggregation of Annual Time Series Data
to
Quarterly Figures: A Comparative Study," Journal of
Forecasting,
1993, 677-688.
- Chan, W.S. and Tse, Y.K., "Price-Volume Relation in
Stocks:
A Multiple Time Series Analysis," Asia Pacific Journal of
Management,
1993, 39-56.
*** 1992 ***
- Chan, W.S. and Wei, W.S., "A Comparison of Some
Estimators
of Time Series Autocorrelations," Computational Statistics
&
Data Analysis, 1992, 149-163.
- Chan, W.S., "A Note on Time Series Model
Specification in
the Presence of Outliers," Journal of Applied Statistics,
1992,
117-124.
*** 1990 ***
- Chan, W.S., "On Tests for Nonlinearity in Hong Kong
Stock
Returns," Hong Kong Journal of Business Management,
1990, 1-11.
*** 1986 ***
- Chan, W.S. and Tong, H., "On Tests for Non-linearity
in
Time Series Analysis," Journal of Forecasting,
1986, 217-228.
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